New Jersey based research group has conducted a thorough examination of polling data from the 2008 election and concluded that a whopping 5.7 million votes were illegally case. ‘Just Facts’ is an independent think tank run by conservatives and libertarians.
Just Facts believes the illegal vote totals are in line with the allegations made by President Trump about voter fraud.
From the study:
“Just Facts President James D. Agresti and his team looked at data from an extensive Harvard/YouGov study that every two years questions a sample size of tens of thousands of voters. Some acknowledge they are noncitizens and are thus ineligible to vote.
“In one camp, there are groundbreaking studies by professors at Old Dominion University in Virginia who attempted to compile scientifically derived illegal voting numbers using the Harvard data, called the Cooperative Congressional Election Study.
“On the other side are the professors who conducted the study and contended that “zero” noncitizens of about 18 million adults in the U.S. voted. The liberal mainstream media adopted this position and proclaimed the Old Dominion work was ‘debunked.’
“The ODU professors, who stand by their work in the face of attacks from the left, concluded that in 2008 as few as 38,000 and as many as 2.8 million noncitizens voted.
“Mr. Agresti’s analysis of the same polling data settled on much higher numbers. He estimated that as many as 7.9 million noncitizens were illegally registered that year and 594,000 to 5.7 million voted.”
President Trump has argued that the number of illegal votes resulted in him losing the popular vote. While this cannot be confirmed for sure, the illegal votes alleged by Just Facts is well within that margin. Clinton won the popular vote by just under 3 million votes.
The research group also examined the 2012 election and estimate 3.2 million to 5.6 million noncitizens illegally registered to vote. Around 1.2 to 3.6 million of them voted.
“Mr. Agresti lays out his reasoning in a series of complicated calculations, which he compares to U.S. Census Bureau figures for noncitizen residents. Polls show noncitizens vote overwhelmingly Democratic.
“’The details are technical, but the figure I calculated is based on a more conservative margin of sampling error and a methodology that I consider to be more accurate,’ Mr. Agresti told The Washington Times.
“He believes the Harvard/YouGov researchers based their ‘zero’ claim on two flawed assumptions. First, they assumed that people who said they voted and identified a candidate did not vote unless their names showed up in a database.
“’This is illogical, because such databases are unlikely to verify voters who use fraudulent identities, and millions of noncitizens use them,’ Mr. Agresti said.
“He cites government audits that show large numbers of noncitizens use false IDs and Social Security numbers in order to function in the U.S., which could include voting.
“Second, Harvard assumed that respondent citizens sometimes misidentified themselves as noncitizens but also concluded that noncitizens never misidentified themselves as citizens, Mr. Agresti said.”